Loading...

Daily General Analysis

February 3, 2026

Hey everyone. Sitting here with my coffee, watching the morning news... it's pure madness. The feeling is that we're at a turning point, with capital rushing to specific corners of the market while politics takes its foot off the brake. Let's break down what matters.

The News Driving the Game

1. Musk's Cosmic Merger: SpaceX + xAI
Elon Musk is merging his rocket company, SpaceX, with his AI startup, xAI, creating a giant valued at around $1.25 trillion on the eve of a potential IPO.
Effect: I'd Buy (at the IPO or via indirect exposure).
Assets/Sectors: TSLA (positive sentiment on the Musk ecosystem), Aerospace/Defense sector (Lockheed Martin - LMT, Northrop Grumman - NOC), AI Chips (Nvidia - NVDA, AMD - AMD).

2. Waymo Shifts into 5th Gear with $16B
The Alphabet-owned leader in autonomous taxis raised a massive $16 billion round to expand its operations to over 20 cities.
Effect: I'd Buy (exposure via Alphabet).
Assets/Sectors: GOOGL (Alphabet, parent company), Sensor/LiDAR manufacturers (Luminar - LAZR), Traditional automakers (GM - GM, Ford - F under competitive pressure).

3. KOSPI Explodes +6.8% on Memory and AI
The South Korean stock market surged to historic highs, driven by double-digit jumps in memory giants Samsung and SK Hynix, signaling robust demand for AI chips.
Effect: I'd Buy (focus on the Korean players).
Assets/Sectors: Samsung Electronics (005930.KS), SK Hynix (000660.KS), Korean Semiconductor ETF (like EWY), Semiconductor equipment (ASML - ASML).

4. China Attracts Global Capital via ETFs
International interest in Chinese assets is growing, with domestic ETFs "going offshore" and foreign capital flowing in, attracted by what are seen as cheap valuations.
Effect: I'd Hold or increase existing positions, with caution.
Assets/Sectors: Chinese Equity ETFs (like MCHI, ASHR), Chinese Technology and Discretionary sectors (Alibaba - BABA, Tencent - TCEHY).

5. End of the US Government "Shutdown"
The Senate approved and President Trump signed off on ending the partial federal government shutdown, averting a prolonged crisis.
Effect: I'd Hold (momentary relief, but political volatility remains).
Assets/Sectors: Defense sector (Raytheon - RTX), Construction/Infrastructure (Caterpillar - CAT), S&P 500 Index (SPY) overall.

6. Teradyne Surprises with Upbeat Forecast
The semiconductor test equipment maker projected quarterly results above estimates, thanks to demand for AI data center expansion.
Effect: I'd Buy (it's an essential "pick and shovel" play for the AI supply chain).
Assets/Sectors: TER (Teradyne), Other equipment suppliers (Applied Materials - AMAT), Semiconductor sector in general (SMH).

Where to Put Your Portfolio Now

  • Focus on the "Physics of AI": It's not just software. Real demand for hardware (memory chips, test equipment, data centers) is being confirmed in earnings. NVDA, AMD, and the Koreans are central.
  • Bet on Concrete Disruption: Waymo showed that autonomous vehicles are a capital-intensive business, but with a clear leader. GOOGL is the safest way to get exposure.
  • Eye on Low-Value China: The foreign capital inflow is an important technical signal. It might be time to take a second look at ETFs like MCHI for diversification, with a medium-term horizon.

Risks That Must Stay on the Radar

  • Extraterrestrial Valuations: The SpaceX/xAI merger and Waymo's valuation are stratospheric. Any stumble in execution or market sentiment could cause brutal corrections.
  • Geopolitics is a Bucket of Cold Water: The relief from the end of the US shutdown is temporary. Trade tensions or new sanctions could quickly cool optimism around Chinese and Korean assets.
  • Congestion on the AI Highway: Everyone is investing heavily. The risk of overcapacity or a "winner takes all" scenario (where only one or two players actually profit) is real.

This analysis is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.

Sources: WELT, CNBC, Yahoo Finance

First Step

Welcome

By signing up, you declare that you agree to our terms of use and privacy policies.
Opportunities Today

Enjoy

Your Passport to Global Investments

Ivar recommends Swissquote bank for your international investments. By opening your account through the link below and trading 5 lots or more, you will receive $200 to use on Ivar AI and activate your subscription. Take advantage of this exclusive offer available today!

Swissquote

Offer available for you who have not yet opened your account at Swissquote.
Services available globally except for the following countries: Algeria, Belgium, Canada, China, North Korea, USA, France, Hong Kong, Iran, Iraq, Nigeria, Singapore, Syria, Turkey and Zimbabwe.