Good morning, everyone. Coffee in hand? Because the radar is beeping loud today.

Let's get straight to it. The market is having one of those weeks where geopolitics, interest rates, and technology are all pulling the rope at the same time. I've picked out what really matters so you don't get lost in the noise.

1. Middle East heats up: third aircraft carrier on the way

The fact: The US is sending a third aircraft carrier and 10,000 more troops to the Middle East, raising naval presence to over 20,000 personnel, amid open war against Iran.

My take: I Would Buy defense. This isn't noise, it's a sign the tension will last. Defense companies tend to be the first to feel it in their bottom line.

Assets on the radar:

• RTX (NYSE: RTX) — just landed a billion-dollar contract, perfect setup.
• LMT (NYSE: LMT) — classic exposure to missiles and air defense.
• NOC (NYSE: NOC) — command and control systems.
• Oil (Brent / WTI) — geopolitical risk premium back in the price.

2. Raytheon closes $24.4B contract for SM-6 missiles

The fact: Raytheon, an RTX subsidiary, secured a five-year contract (with an option for two more) worth up to $24.4 billion for SM-6 interceptors.

My take: I Would Buy RTX without blinking. A multiyear contract that size means revenue visibility for nearly a decade. It's the kind of thing that lets analysts sleep soundly.

Assets on the radar:

• RTX (NYSE: RTX) — the direct protagonist.
• GD (NYSE: GD) — competitor that benefits from the cycle.
• ITA (defense ETF) — a diversified way to ride the wave.
• Military semiconductor suppliers — demand for hardened chips rises along with it.

3. SpaceX wants a $119B chip megafactory

The fact: SpaceX is planning "Terafab," a chip megafactory in Texas that could receive up to $119 billion in investment, targeting vertical integration and AI capacity.

My take: I Would Hold my position in semiconductors and watch. SpaceX isn't listed, but the ripple effect on the chip ecosystem is real. Whoever makes lithography and inputs feels it first.

Assets on the radar:

• ASML (NASDAQ: ASML) — lithography monopolist, natural beneficiary.
• TSM (NYSE: TSM) — long-term competitive pressure, but heated demand.
• NVDA (NASDAQ: NVDA) — AI remains the engine.
• Texas utilities sector — a megafactory consumes energy like a city.

4. Treasury yields at highest level since 2002

The fact: The 10-year Treasury yield hit its highest level in 24 years, in a global bond sell-off, with stocks falling alongside.

My take: I Would Reduce exposure to long-duration growth and leveraged REITs. When the cost of money rises like this, whoever depends on refinancing suffers. But heads up: for those with cash, it's an opportunity in fixed income.

Assets on the radar:

• TLT (NASDAQ: TLT) — long Treasury ETF, heavy pressure.
• Real estate sector (REITs) — sensitive to rates.
• Banks (XLF) — margins improve in the short term.
• Dollar (DXY) — tends to strengthen with high yields.

5. China aims to dominate solid-state batteries by 2030

The fact: Beijing wants to repeat with solid-state what it did with lithium-ion: cut costs, improve performance, and start commercial-scale production by 2030.

My take: I Would Hold my position in Western batteries, but with a hedge. China is coming to dominate, and that pressures the margins of players like QuantumScape and Solid Power. Whoever controls the chain sets the price.

Assets on the radar:

• QS (NYSE: QS) — direct competitor, high competitive risk.
• SLDP (NASDAQ: SLDP) — same.
• CATL (Shenzhen: 300750) — Chinese giant, structural favorite.
• Albemarle (NYSE: ALB) — lithium remains relevant in the transition.

6. Crypto attracts $3.55B in a single week

The fact: Crypto funds pulled in $3.55 billion in a single week, with the quarter accumulating a 33% gain.

My take: I Would Buy with discipline and a small position. Strong institutional inflow is a sign of maturity, but no one here is betting the rent. Exposure via a regulated ETF is the way for beginners.

Assets on the radar:

• IBIT (NASDAQ: IBIT) — BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF.
• ETHE / ETHA — Ethereum exposure.
• COIN (NASDAQ: COIN) — listed exchange, leveraged to volume.
• MSTR (NASDAQ: MSTR) — BTC proxy, but with amplified volatility.

Immediate opportunities