US recession alert: Why Moody’s warns of 49% risk as oil prices and weak jobs data hit economy - here's what you need to know

The Times of India - March 18, 2026

US recession alert: Why Moody’s warns of 49% risk as oil prices and weak jobs data hit economy - here's what you need to know

US recession warning 2026: Fears of a US recession are escalating as Moody's Analytics forecasts a 49% chance of a downturn within a year, a figure potentially rising above 50% due to the Iran war's impact on oil prices. A weakening labor market and softening…

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