高盛預期CNY幾個月內恐迅速走貶，以因應美國關稅衝擊

Yahoo Entertainment - January 5, 2025

高盛預期CNY幾個月內恐迅速走貶，以因應美國關稅衝擊

【財訊快報／劉敏夫】外電報導指出，高盛集團方面表示，為了因應美國關稅措施衝擊，在岸人民幣可能會在幾個月內迅速走貶。Danny Suwanapruti等高盛策略方析師在一份報告中寫道，中國將在是否允許在岸人民幣貶值上面臨最終抉擇，預計可能會這麼做，以因應美國加徵關稅給經濟帶來的衝擊。這份報告指稱，預計政策當局將允許人民幣貶值以因應關稅影響，這是支持國內經濟成長而採取的金融環境寬鬆計畫的一部分。不過，與此同時，鑒於外部需求和美元儲備的強勁開局，預計人民幣不會出現無序或斷斷續續的走貶，從而危及國內信心並加劇資本外流壓力…

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