渣打上修2026年布蘭特期油估值，中東戰局升級推高油價上檔風險

Yahoo Entertainment - 3 Mart 2026

渣打上修2026年布蘭特期油估值，中東戰局升級推高油價上檔風險

【財訊快報／陳孟朔】外電報導，中東戰事升高、能源運輸受擾之際，渣打銀行上調2026年布蘭特原油價格預測，並指出若衝突進一步升級、影響伊朗或區域其他產油國產能，油價面臨明顯不對稱上行風險。市場人士表示，先前市場對供需偏寬鬆的預期一度壓抑風險溢價，但在產能備援有限與航運通道高度集中的現實下，地緣風險重新成為定價核心。渣打最新調整顯示，2026年第一季布蘭特預測由每桶62美元大幅上修19%至74美元，第二季由63美元上修至67美元，全年均價預測則由63.5美元上調至70美元。分析師指出，這次上修幅度以第一季最為明顯，反…

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